Kelly (Letcher), Rebecca and Jakeman, Anthony J. and Barreteau, Olivier and Borsuk, Mark and ElSawah, Sondoss and Hamilton, Serena and Henriksen, Hans Jorgen and Kuikka, Sakari and Maier, Holger and Rizzoli, Andrea Emilio and van Delden, Hedwig and Voinov, Alexey A. (2013) Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management. Environmental Modelling & Software, 47. pp. 159-181.
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Abstract
The design and implementation of effective environmental policies need to be informed by a holistic understanding of the system processes (biophysical, social and economic), their complex interactions, and how they respond to various changes. Models, integrating different system processes into a unified framework, are seen as useful tools to help analyse alternatives with stakeholders, assess their outcomes, and communicate results in a transparent way. This paper reviews five common approaches or model types that have the capacity to integrate knowledge by developing models that can accommodate multiple issues, values, scales and uncertainty considerations, as well as facilitate stakeholder engagement. The approaches considered are: systems dynamics, Bayesian networks, coupled component models, agent-based models and knowledge-based models (also referred to as expert systems). We start by discussing several considerations in model development, such as the purpose of model building, the availability of qualitative versus quantitative data for model specification, the level of spatio-temporal detail required, and treatment of uncertainty. These considerations and a review of applications are then used to develop a framework that aims to assist modellers and model users in the choice of an appropriate modelling approach for their integrated assessment applications and that enables more effective learning in interdisciplinary settings.
| Item Type: | Scientific journal article, Newspaper article or Magazine article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Integrated assessment; System dynamics; Bayesian network; Coupled component model; Agent-based model; Knowledge-based model |
| Subjects: | Engineering > Civil engineering > Environmental engineering Computer sciences |
| Department/unit: | Dipartimento tecnologie innovative > Istituto Dalle Molle di studi sull’intelligenza artificiale USI-SUPSI |
| Depositing User: | Andrea Emilio Rizzoli |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Jun 2013 08:08 |
| Last Modified: | 11 May 2016 14:14 |
| URI: | http://repository.supsi.ch/id/eprint/2497 |
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