A Bayesian network model for predicting the outcome of in vitro fertilization

Corani, Giorgio and Magli, Cristina and Giusti, Alessandro and Gianaroli, Luca and Gambardella, Luca Maria (2012) A Bayesian network model for predicting the outcome of in vitro fertilization. In: 6th European Workshop on Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM 2012), 19.09.2012-21.09.2012, Granada, Spain.

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Abstract

We present a Bayesian network model for predicting the outcome of in vitro fertilization (IVF). The problem is characterized by a particular missingness process; we propose a simple but effective averaging approach which improves parameter estimates compared to the traditional MAP estimation. We present results with generated data and the analysis of a real data set. Moreover, we assess by means of a simulation study the effectiveness of the model in supporting the selection of the embryos to be transferred.

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